Mortgage Market and Rate Forecast – Week of April 27th

by Tyler Osby on April 27, 2009

Market and Rate Watch


It’s a Busy Week!

This week, the market may finally make a run and break its range!  Besides the fact that it’s an unusually data-heavy week, the Federal Reserve meets on Tuesday & Wednesday to discuss monetary policy.  The decision combined with the talk of the Fed may push the markets one way or the other.  Likely towards economic optimism or pessimism for the latter half of 2009.

Prepare for Movement

Lately, it’s been cautious optimism that has held mortgage rates in a tight range for so long.  Understand though, that when mortgage rates finally do move, they’re going to move in a big way.  So, if you’re among the crowd looking for lower rates, the best possible outcomes you can hope for this week are:

  • Weak consumer confidence data (Tuesday, Friday)
  • Weak consumer spending data (Thursday)
  • Falling “cost of living” calculations (Thursday)
  • Fed concerns about deflation and/or recession (Wednesday)

Any of these four events would likely temper hope for a quick economic revival, sending mortgage rates lower.  On the other hand, if confidence or spending is strong, or the Fed has no regard for deflation or recession, expect mortgage rates to rise.

You Can Stay Updated!

I’ll be following things as they happen with live mortgage bond quotes and do what I can to keep everyone informed with live updates through Twitter.

Here’s this week’s economic calendar:

Weekly Economic Calendar

As a Consumer, How Do You Keep Posted on the News?

I’ll do my best to keep you posted throughout the week via Twitter. If you’re interested in finding out more about what effects mortgage rates and which direction they’re headed, feel free to follow me!

Work With Mortgage Professionals In The Advice Business

It’s important to recognize that advice is extremely valuable when looking for a mortgage. The right advice can literally save you thousands of dollars, while the wrong advice can cost you the same.  Some mortgage professionals really don’t know what mortgage rates are based on, period.  If you want to get the best deal, having a professional that can give you that type of advice is extremely important.

Why Am I Posting A Calendar?

I provide this weekly news update because too often when we’re shopping around, we ask the wrong questions. The first thing you’ve got to have your antenna up on is economic news if you want to have any idea what direction rates are moving.

So You Say, What Are Mortgage Rates Currently?

I get this question all too often. If I’m being fair.. and honest (which is my policy). I would be doing you a huge disservice to just quote a rate.

Truth be told, there are literally 27 different factors that go into a custom rate quote. There are also thousands of programs (constantly changing as well). It’s extremely important that you are educated on what is available and most importantly what is the best mortgage plan for you to personally implement.

It’s natural to have a list of questions. I’d love to help work through them with you and educate you on what you need to know about the mortgage process. I can help with everything from how to pre-qualified to what to do after closing (where I will continue working for you)!

It’s what we do, and it would be my honor to add you to our list of raving fan clients. If you’re currently looking for a mortgage loan or know someone that might have questions about one, please have them contact me. I’d be happy to assist them. It’s literally what I love doing! I promise to take great care.

Original Photo Kudos

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